富达国际:美国经济“不着陆”机会上升 美联储第三季减息可能性较高
善平
发表于 2024-4-23 10:12:20
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刘培乾指出,现时各国央行正密切关注美联储减息的时间点,基于劳工市场及通胀数据强劲,美联储可能会将减息时间由6月推迟至第三季,未来减息的节奏将会由基本面所驱动。现时富达国际最新预测美国经济软着陆的可能性约40%,不着陆可能性为30%,温和衰退则为25%。
刘培乾称,对中国人民银行来说,人民币汇率相当重要,她相信财政政策于未来数季仍会是中国刺激政策的主线。她续称,从近日经济数据来看,中国制造业及工业持续复苏,服务业增速高于平均水平,相信新基建长远是中国的转型方向,而中国持续推出刺激政策,有助市场迈向可控的稳定。
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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author only, this article does not represent the position of CandyLake.com, and does not constitute advice, please treat with caution.