再创新高!日经225指数逼近40000点,年内涨近20%
Aim_yuan
发表于 2024-3-1 21:15:50
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长城证券认为,日元贬值促使出口增长,拉动经济增速,进而带动日经225指数的上涨。而日元的贬值是依靠国内外货币政策的相互作用产生的,美国会在2024年下半年开启降息周期,而日本在考虑退出负利率。一个要降息,一个要加息,两国的利率差可能会缩小。日元可能升值,而日元升值也可能预示着日本出口可能变慢,影响经济增长,日经225指数或见顶回调。
国泰君安研报指出,近年日经225指数的上涨主要由业绩而非估值驱动。预计2024年日经225指数或有望实现不到23%的正收益,对于全球化投资组合而言日本权益资产具有一定的战略及战术配置价值。
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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author only, this article does not represent the position of CandyLake.com, and does not constitute advice, please treat with caution.