CICC: It is not advisable to have excessive expectations for US monetary easing. First rate cut or next September
教们边束千
发表于 2023-11-15 12:59:36
1347
0
0
Securities Times E-Company News: CICC pointed out that the US CPI in October was 3.2% year-on-year, while the core CPI was 4.0% year-on-year, which is lower than the market and our expectations. Despite the rebound in medical insurance prices due to statistical reasons, the weak growth rate of prices such as gasoline, rent, second-hand cars, and hotels has allowed overall inflation to decline. In the short term, a slowdown in inflation means a decrease in the need for further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, an increase in hopes of a soft landing for the US economy, an improvement in investor risk appetite, and a rebound in previously adjusted assets. However, it is not advisable to have excessive expectations for US monetary easing. Our benchmark scenario is for the Federal Reserve to maintain its current interest rate level in the first half of next year, and to shift to a rate cut in the second half of the year, with the first rate cut likely in September next year.
CandyLake.com is an information publishing platform and only provides information storage space services.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author only, this article does not represent the position of CandyLake.com, and does not constitute advice, please treat with caution.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author only, this article does not represent the position of CandyLake.com, and does not constitute advice, please treat with caution.
You may like
- Will quantitative easing make a comeback? Bank of America: US debt is increasing by 5.2 billion US dollars, and the Federal Reserve may help
- Is the March interest rate cut hanging? US retail monthly rate hits market with loose pricing
- US retail giant Target's 2023 fiscal year revenue recorded its first decline in 7 years
- How will the wave of interest rate cuts develop under the signal of easing from multiple central banks?
- The Federal Reserve is in place! Global easing is expected to open a new chapter next month
- Ready to cut interest rates! The hawkish members of the Federal Reserve suddenly released a signal of monetary easing
- Moving towards a bull market? China's massive easing boosts Bitcoin outlook to $70000
- Wall Street experts shout: The Fed's "three consecutive declines" this week are no surprise, but the easing cycle has come to a halt!
- Forward looking Federal Reserve Resolution: Will Powell Clearly Slow Down Loose Policy?