IMF警告全球通胀或死灰复燃 维持今年增长率3.2%预测不变
灵之亡灵肆
发表于 2024-7-19 09:44:08
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报道称,IMF将其对今年世界经济增长率的预测维持在3.2%不变,而将其对明年经济增长率的预测从3.2%上调至3.3%。IMF略微下调了对美国今年经济增长的预测,同时略微上调了对欧元区的经济增长预测。
IMF称,全世界的通胀率很可能持续下降,但随着服务价格和工资水平继续快速上升,通胀率的下降速度将低于预期。不过,IMF警告称,新一轮的关税和其他贸易壁垒可能推高通胀率,从而迫使各国央行把关键利率维持在目前的高位。
IMF称:“因此,在贸易紧张不断升级和政策不确定性加剧的背景下,通胀的上行风险已经加大,从而增加了在更长时间内维持较高利率的前景。”
德国法兰克福的一处工地(法新社)
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