俄罗斯央行宣布基准利率提升至16%
马幼文
发表于 2023-12-16 12:57:33
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俄央行表示,当前通胀压力依然很高。预计2023年俄罗斯通胀率接近7.0%-7.5%的上限。与此同时,俄央行预计,2023年俄国内生产总值(GDP)增长率将高于10月份的预测,超过3%。信贷市场部分出现放缓迹象,但总体信贷增长率仍然很高。居民的通胀预期和企业的价格预期都有所提高。要使通胀率2024年恢复并进一步稳定在4%左右的目标,意味着俄经济将长期保持紧缩的货币环境。
根据俄央行的预测,考虑到目前的货币信贷政策,2024年俄罗斯年通胀率将降至4.0%-4.5%,此后将保持在4.0%左右。
俄央行表示,未来将根据通胀实际和预期动态、经济发展情况、国内外风险以及金融市场反应,就基准利率做出进一步决定。
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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author only, this article does not represent the position of CandyLake.com, and does not constitute advice, please treat with caution.