美联储官员Williams:通胀预测失误不应归咎于经济模型
李英儒始
发表于 2023-11-9 15:51:08
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“最近美联储等央行使用的宏观经济模型受到指责,因其未能预测到2021年以来通胀的快速持续上升,”Williams周三在为华盛顿美联储研究会议事先准备好的讲稿中表示,“但模型不做员工预测或政策决定。这不是它们的目的。”
他说:“模型中的任何缺陷都反映出我们集体理解的不足,而非我们理解有误的原因。研究人员的任务是在修改现有模型并建立新模型时吸取经验。”
注:Williams在事先准备的讲稿中没有对货币政策或利率前景发表评论。
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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author only, this article does not represent the position of CandyLake.com, and does not constitute advice, please treat with caution.