西部利得基金:美联储降息50个基点落地或能进一步打开国内货币政策空间
长安不良帅
发表于 2024-9-20 10:14:02
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对此,西部利得基金指出,鲍威尔措辞相对谨慎,市场理解为鹰派降息。鲍威尔在发布会上表示,降息50个基点并非衰退式降息,而是对7月未降息的弥补,50个基点并非未来降息的节奏。他评价,就业下行风险加重,通胀上行风险消退,但抗击通胀尚未完全胜利,后续依然会根据数据做决策。与此同时,点阵图暗示年内或共降息100个基点,低于此前市场预期的118个基点,长期利率水平略有上调,都使得市场认为美联储态度较预期更鹰。决议和发布会后,美股、黄金冲高回落,美元、美债利率先下后上,整体呈现鹰派交易。
对于国内市场的影响,西部利得基金则认为,美联储降息50个基点落地或能进一步打开货币政策空间,但股债市场核心仍需要关注国内基本面的变化以及政策发力的节奏。(澎湃新闻记者 丁欣晴)
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